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Who's betting on “Will The Joint List win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?”?

Politics$12K traded66 holdersEnds November 30, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
2%Yes
98%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 53 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$12K
traded all time
Held now
$2.0K
by 66 wallets
Smart share · Yes
45%
43 scored holders
Smart share · No
97%
22 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.

The smart money

45% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 53 points.

Who holds it

66 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is ToTheWindow, with $21 on it, $36K lifetime profit over 441 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is TheArtOfTACO, with $906 on it, $21K lifetime profit over 219 markets (83% won).

Sharp money

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on Yes; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $49 on No.

Yes2%
Smart money share45%
Holders
44
Money on it
$93
Holders' win rate
42%
Snipers
1 · $0
No98%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share97%
Holders
22
Money on it
$1.9K
Holders' win rate
69%
Snipers
1 · $49

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$93 on it

  1. 1ToTheWindow55% won of 441 · whale$21+$36K lifetime
  2. 2608926145529% won of 70$18−$21K lifetime
  3. 3vejesimya21% won of 19$16−$990 lifetime
  4. 4youtube-trader25% won of 8,026$8−$6.5K lifetime
  5. 50x84fdf3382Af0BdCF7D8e6272f477334CAC442f81-173394411441493% won of 216 · grinder$7+$4.1K lifetime

No$1.9K on it

  1. 1TheArtOfTACO83% won of 219 · balanced$906+$21K lifetime
  2. 2donthackme29% won of 87,062 · noise$377+$829K lifetime
  3. 3AxiosReporter1297% won of 30 · balanced$236+$5.9K lifetime
  4. 4Leclerc0450% won of 1,216 · balanced$231+$3.7K lifetime
  5. 5TheOne77793% won of 381 · sniper$49+$16K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will The Joint List win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?

66 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is ToTheWindow, with $21 on it, $36K lifetime profit over 441 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is TheArtOfTACO, with $906 on it, $21K lifetime profit over 219 markets (83% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will The Joint List win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

45% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 53 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.