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Who's betting on “Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by December 31?”?

Politics$14K traded28 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 16, 2026
44%Yes
56%No

Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.

Volume
$14K
traded all time
Held now
$479
by 28 wallets
Smart share · Yes
-
13 scored holders
Smart share · No
-
15 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 44¢ and No at 56¢, a 56% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

Who holds it

28 wallets hold a position worth $479 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 28 of them.

Yes44%
Smart money share-
Holders
13
Money on it
$180
Holders' win rate
61%
No56%
Smart money share-
Holders
15
Money on it
$299
Holders' win rate
59%
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by December 31?"?

28 wallets hold a position worth $479 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 28 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by December 31?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 44¢ and No at 56¢, a 56% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.