Who's betting on “Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 98% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 43 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $29K traded all time
- Held now
- $8.7K by 44 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 98% 28 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 54% 16 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $29K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
98% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 43 points. A week ago, Yes by 40 points.
Who holds it
44 wallets hold a position worth $8.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is Perypery, with $223 on it, $44K lifetime profit over 473 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is 0x41E816EC8eb178804fF4B3f523d0b01c4729626b-1769306850569, with $3.8K on it, $2.2K lifetime loss over 51 markets (57% won).
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $415
- Holders' win rate
- 36%
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $8.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$415 on it
- 1Perypery30% won of 473 · noise$223+$44K lifetime
- 2Nadmi35% won of 1,251 · noise$61+$154K lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,917 · noise$52+$28K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$23+$254K lifetime
- 5planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$20+$132K lifetime
No$8.3K on it
- 10x41E816EC8eb178804fF4B3f523d0b01c4729626b-176930685056957% won of 51$3.8K−$2.2K lifetime
- 2hwey346ed95% won of 19$2.0K+$1.2K lifetime
- 3pop69% won of 300 · whale$1.3K+$26K lifetime
- 4arbdiscovery69% won of 39 · balanced$390+$542 lifetime
- 5willsom72% won of 237 · whale$268+$47K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?"?
44 wallets hold a position worth $8.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is Perypery, with $223 on it, $44K lifetime profit over 473 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is 0x41E816EC8eb178804fF4B3f523d0b01c4729626b-1769306850569, with $3.8K on it, $2.2K lifetime loss over 51 markets (57% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $29K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
98% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 43 points. A week ago, Yes by 40 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.