Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 80% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 42 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.5K by 60 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 80% 36 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 38% 24 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 85¢ and No at 15¢, an 85% implied chance of Yes. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
80% of the money on Yes and 38% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 43 points. A week ago, Yes by 53 points.
Who holds it
60 wallets hold a position worth $5.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 60 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc8b9…b836, with $2.8K on it, $371K lifetime profit over 552 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is 74-75, with $296 on it, $2.5K lifetime loss over 94 markets (41% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $264 on Yes.
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $4.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 1 · $264
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $684
- Holders' win rate
- 45%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.8K on it
- 10xc8b9…b83664% won of 552 · whale$2.8K+$371K lifetime
- 2DuneMentat74% won of 841$347−$12K lifetime
- 3FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$264+$244K lifetime
- 4G.Hchen44% won of 239 · noise$255+$22K lifetime
- 5DonVincero91% won of 253$233−$7.3K lifetime
No$684 on it
- 174-7541% won of 94$296−$2.5K lifetime
- 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,242 · whale$118+$203K lifetime
- 3bananabreakfast48% won of 2,392 · balanced$57+$5.1K lifetime
- 4Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$54−$378K lifetime
- 5Snoopy12139% won of 33$50−$120 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?"?
60 wallets hold a position worth $5.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 60 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc8b9…b836, with $2.8K on it, $371K lifetime profit over 552 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is 74-75, with $296 on it, $2.5K lifetime loss over 94 markets (41% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 85¢ and No at 15¢, an 85% implied chance of Yes. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 38% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 43 points. A week ago, Yes by 53 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.