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Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?”?

Politics$23K traded69 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
9%Yes
92%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 80% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 46 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$23K
traded all time
Held now
$3.5K
by 69 wallets
Smart share · Yes
34%
45 scored holders
Smart share · No
80%
24 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

34% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 46 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 49 points. A week ago, No by 60 points.

Who holds it

69 wallets hold a position worth $3.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 69 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $199 on it, $433K lifetime loss over 12,107 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is ImJustKen, with $914 on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won).

Sharp money

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $100 on Yes.

Yes9%
Smart money share34% ▼ 14 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 38%a day ago 48%now 34%
Holders
45
Money on it
$1.0K
Holders' win rate
50%
Snipers
1 · $100
No92%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share80% ▼ 17 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 98%a day ago 97%now 80%
Holders
24
Money on it
$2.5K
Holders' win rate
59%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$1.0K on it

  1. 1Gaditima49% won of 12,107$199−$433K lifetime
  2. 2cigarettes46% won of 49,151$170−$48K lifetime
  3. 30xa0f2…184842% won of 2,580$160−$3.5M lifetime
  4. 4FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$100+$244K lifetime
  5. 50x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$57+$127K lifetime

No$2.5K on it

  1. 1ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$914+$2.3M lifetime
  2. 20x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-17788114477028% won of 33,540 · noise$309+$29K lifetime
  3. 3HotDogs93% won of 617 · whale$277+$21K lifetime
  4. 4HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$242+$325K lifetime
  5. 5rocky4201552% won of 1,056$226−$15K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?"?

69 wallets hold a position worth $3.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 69 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $199 on it, $433K lifetime loss over 12,107 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is ImJustKen, with $914 on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

34% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 46 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 49 points. A week ago, No by 60 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.