Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $22K traded all time
- Held now
- $10K by 77 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 71% 47 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 73% 30 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
71% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
77 wallets hold a position worth $10K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 77 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xE41adDdfD269f811c8dc173237eD8C4F213d29bD-1786041153188, with $2.5K on it, $137 lifetime loss over 125 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $86 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 47
- Money on it
- $10K
- Holders' win rate
- 77%
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $174
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$10K on it
- 10xE41adDdfD269f811c8dc173237eD8C4F213d29bD-178604115318879% won of 125$2.5K−$137 lifetime
- 2QMG-CORE73% won of 1,224 · whale$2.1K+$57K lifetime
- 3MrNoItAll90% won of 514 · whale$2.1K+$38K lifetime
- 40x4e25…d7a759% won of 1,000 · whale$785+$252K lifetime
- 5lihpare82% won of 1,013 · whale$555+$5.0K lifetime
No$174 on it
- 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$86+$48K lifetime
- 2Gaditima49% won of 12,111$39−$434K lifetime
- 3ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$22+$2.3M lifetime
- 40x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$6+$129K lifetime
- 5ACara66% won of 370 · whale$4+$45K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?"?
77 wallets hold a position worth $10K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 77 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xE41adDdfD269f811c8dc173237eD8C4F213d29bD-1786041153188, with $2.5K on it, $137 lifetime loss over 125 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $86 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.