Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?”?
Politics · $113K volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $113K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
74% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 8 points. A week ago, Yes by 11 points.
127 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 127 of them. The largest Yes holder is donthackme, with $3 on it, $907K lifetime profit over 69,634 markets (29% won). The largest No holder is stout, with $314 on it, $7.2K lifetime loss over 132 markets (89% won).
- Smart money share
- 74% ▲ 11 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 102
- Money on it
- $28
- Holders' winrate
- 43%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 56%
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $1.0K
- Holders' winrate
- 77%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| donthackmenoise | $3 | +$907K | 29% of 69,634 |
| parav0z | $3 | +$0 | - |
| AMAM13 | $2 | -$116K | 57% of 5,490 |
| LR1whale | $2 | +$15K | 72% of 215 |
| 0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225noise | $2 | +$83K | 9% of 27,451 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| stout | $314 | -$7.2K | 89% of 132 |
| ScottyNooowhale | $153 | +$891K | 48% of 1,533 |
| mjuyhn | $133 | +$3 | 100% of 19 |
| LBZero | $103 | -$26K | 47% of 1,012 |
| bernardbulletinwhale | $100 | +$189K | 75% of 1,110 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?"?
127 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 127 of them. The largest Yes holder is donthackme, with $3 on it, $907K lifetime profit over 69,634 markets (29% won). The largest No holder is stout, with $314 on it, $7.2K lifetime loss over 132 markets (89% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $113K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
74% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 8 points. A week ago, Yes by 11 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.