Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 31% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 12 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $39K traded all time
- Held now
- $16K by 82 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 31% 57 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 19% 25 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $39K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
31% of the money on Yes and 19% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.
Who holds it
82 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 82 of them. The largest Yes holder is pmtosat-, with $8.4K on it, $35K lifetime loss over 447 markets (90% won). The largest No holder is DanielXRP, with $124 on it, $2.0K lifetime loss over 9 markets (0% won).
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $16K
- Holders' win rate
- 83%
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $199
- Holders' win rate
- 21%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$16K on it
- 1pmtosat-90% won of 447$8.4K−$35K lifetime
- 2macrosteaks64% won of 2,614$1.1K−$8.2K lifetime
- 3elmcap286% won of 1,097 · whale$985+$2.1M lifetime
- 4probability31% won of 3,325 · noise$777+$118K lifetime
- 5ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$547+$2.3M lifetime
No$199 on it
- 1DanielXRP0% won of 9$124−$2.0K lifetime
- 2HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$24+$325K lifetime
- 30x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-179243706475847% won of 827$23−$8.4K lifetime
- 4rocky4200952% won of 1,050$11−$6.9K lifetime
- 5JoeDirtBuffett71% won of 1,417 · balanced$5+$2.4K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Massachusetts Senate Election Winner
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?"?
82 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 82 of them. The largest Yes holder is pmtosat-, with $8.4K on it, $35K lifetime loss over 447 markets (90% won). The largest No holder is DanielXRP, with $124 on it, $2.0K lifetime loss over 9 markets (0% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $39K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
31% of the money on Yes and 19% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.