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Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?”?

Politics$62K traded174 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
96%Yes
4%No

The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.

Volume
$62K
traded all time
Held now
$33K
by 174 wallets
Smart share · Yes
76%
130 scored holders
Smart share · No
72%
44 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $62K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

76% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 6 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.

Who holds it

174 wallets hold a position worth $33K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 174 of them. The largest Yes holder is Shady-Tool, with $6.4K on it, $34K lifetime loss over 578 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is cowcat, with $127 on it, $63K lifetime profit over 1,068 markets (68% won).

Yes96%
Smart money share76% ▼ 2 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 98%a day ago 77%now 76%
Holders
130
Money on it
$33K
Holders' win rate
77%
No4%
Smart money share72%
7 days ago 73%a day ago 71%now 72%
Holders
44
Money on it
$227
Holders' win rate
60%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$33K on it

  1. 1Shady-Tool80% won of 578$6.4K−$34K lifetime
  2. 2sogaeyng81% won of 85 · balanced$5.4K+$2.8K lifetime
  3. 3QMG-CORE73% won of 1,224 · whale$4.4K+$57K lifetime
  4. 4polyproguy90% won of 1,033 · whale$1.6K+$31K lifetime
  5. 5Kevindoto79% won of 724 · whale$1.6K+$563K lifetime

No$227 on it

  1. 1cowcat68% won of 1,068 · whale$127+$63K lifetime
  2. 2cigarettes46% won of 49,080$41−$49K lifetime
  3. 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,234 · noise$10+$255K lifetime
  4. 412398745644% won of 2,418 · whale$8+$51K lifetime
  5. 50x1acd…f53551% won of 98$7−$23 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?"?

174 wallets hold a position worth $33K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 174 of them. The largest Yes holder is Shady-Tool, with $6.4K on it, $34K lifetime loss over 578 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is cowcat, with $127 on it, $63K lifetime profit over 1,068 markets (68% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $62K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

76% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 6 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.