Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 28 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $203K traded all time
- Held now
- $95K by 279 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 94% 159 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 66% 118 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 85¢ and No at 16¢, an 85% implied chance of Yes. $203K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
94% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 31 points. A week ago, Yes by 19 points.
Who holds it
279 wallets hold a position worth $95K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 277 of them. The largest Yes holder is scottilicious, with $12K on it, $1.5M lifetime profit over 1,012 markets (83% won). The largest No holder is AnonymousUsername, with $1.2K on it, $417K lifetime profit over 5,827 markets (70% won).
- Holders
- 160
- Money on it
- $88K
- Holders' win rate
- 80%
- Holders
- 119
- Money on it
- $7.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$88K on it
- 1scottilicious83% won of 1,012 · whale$12K+$1.5M lifetime
- 2dzsibenaja88% won of 222 · whale$12K+$130K lifetime
- 3Contestable-Parfait61% won of 345 · whale$9.1K+$173K lifetime
- 4PolBandit94% won of 79 · whale$8.8K+$24K lifetime
- 5HilelTheElder86% won of 37 · balanced$4.8K+$4.3K lifetime
No$7.2K on it
- 1AnonymousUsername70% won of 5,827 · whale$1.2K+$417K lifetime
- 2TTdes84% won of 904 · whale$775+$157K lifetime
- 3MateisLostDog36% won of 486 · noise$729+$49K lifetime
- 4anoin12359% won of 1,608$629−$4.7M lifetime
- 5cigarettes46% won of 49,046$582−$49K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Iowa Governor Election Winner
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?"?
279 wallets hold a position worth $95K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 277 of them. The largest Yes holder is scottilicious, with $12K on it, $1.5M lifetime profit over 1,012 markets (83% won). The largest No holder is AnonymousUsername, with $1.2K on it, $417K lifetime profit over 5,827 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 85¢ and No at 16¢, an 85% implied chance of Yes. $203K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
94% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 31 points. A week ago, Yes by 19 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.