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Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?”?

Politics$11K traded51 holdersEnds November 3, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
54%Yes
46%No

The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.

Volume
$11K
traded all time
Held now
$2.3K
by 51 wallets
Smart share · Yes
79%
36 scored holders
Smart share · No
76%
15 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 54¢ and No at 46¢, a 54% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.

The smart money

79% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.

Who holds it

51 wallets hold a position worth $2.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is mrworldwide, with $711 on it, $219K lifetime profit over 1,445 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is bananabreakfast, with $276 on it, $5.1K lifetime profit over 2,392 markets (48% won).

Yes54%
Smart money share79%
Holders
36
Money on it
$1.8K
Holders' win rate
67%
No46%
Smart money share76%
Holders
15
Money on it
$545
Holders' win rate
56%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$1.8K on it

  1. 1mrworldwide70% won of 1,445 · whale$711+$219K lifetime
  2. 2GirlOnFire70% won of 198 · balanced$254+$1.1K lifetime
  3. 3JackMoneyEth85% won of 201$243−$11K lifetime
  4. 40x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$215+$127K lifetime
  5. 5sweetj64% won of 487 · whale$147+$11K lifetime

No$545 on it

  1. 1bananabreakfast48% won of 2,392 · balanced$276+$5.1K lifetime
  2. 2GollumGekko73% won of 1,183 · whale$131+$290K lifetime
  3. 3Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$55−$377K lifetime
  4. 4DuneMentat74% won of 841$42−$12K lifetime
  5. 5cigarettes46% won of 49,151$18−$48K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?"?

51 wallets hold a position worth $2.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is mrworldwide, with $711 on it, $219K lifetime profit over 1,445 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is bananabreakfast, with $276 on it, $5.1K lifetime profit over 2,392 markets (48% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 54¢ and No at 46¢, a 54% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

79% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.