Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win Fort Bend County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?”?

Politics$11K traded37 holdersEnds November 3, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
95%Yes🧠 smart money
5%No

Smart money leans Yes: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 41 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$11K
traded all time
Held now
$3.6K
by 37 wallets
Smart share · Yes
92%
12 scored holders
Smart share · No
51%
25 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.

The smart money

92% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points. A week ago, Yes by 45 points.

Who holds it

37 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is GamGanapati, with $2.6K on it, $6.8K lifetime profit over 304 markets (78% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $35 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,230 markets (40% won).

Yes95%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share92%
7 days ago 93%a day ago 92%now 92%
Holders
12
Money on it
$3.4K
Holders' win rate
78%
No5%
Smart money share51% ▲ 3 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 47%a day ago 48%now 51%
Holders
25
Money on it
$149
Holders' win rate
28%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$3.4K on it

  1. 1GamGanapati78% won of 304 · balanced$2.6K+$6.8K lifetime
  2. 2TrangNgo84% won of 211 · balanced$476+$22K lifetime
  3. 3DuneMentat75% won of 834$156−$12K lifetime
  4. 4chessplayer70% won of 1,380$81−$17K lifetime
  5. 5ignayes65% won of 169$24+$189 lifetime

No$149 on it

  1. 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,230 · noise$35+$254K lifetime
  2. 2ViscaElBarca1% won of 12,734$34−$65K lifetime
  3. 3youtube-trader25% won of 8,026$26−$6.5K lifetime
  4. 40x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$12+$127K lifetime
  5. 5Perypery30% won of 473 · noise$12+$44K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win Fort Bend County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?"?

37 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is GamGanapati, with $2.6K on it, $6.8K lifetime profit over 304 markets (78% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $35 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,230 markets (40% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win Fort Bend County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

92% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points. A week ago, Yes by 45 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.