Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 71 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $72K traded all time
- Held now
- $11K by 82 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 91% 34 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 20% 48 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $72K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
91% of the money on Yes and 20% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 71 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 65 points. A week ago, Yes by 60 points.
Who holds it
82 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 82 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $798 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is macrosteaks, with $2.1K on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,614 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 34
- Money on it
- $2.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $8.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.5K on it
- 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$798+$48K lifetime
- 2bernardbulletin75% won of 1,126 · whale$728+$198K lifetime
- 3GayPride80% won of 674 · whale$203+$655K lifetime
- 4sbimbg84% won of 1,403 · whale$167+$115K lifetime
- 5AxelTapper100% won of 1$104+$6 lifetime
No$8.5K on it
- 1macrosteaks64% won of 2,614$2.1K−$8.2K lifetime
- 2Gaditima49% won of 12,107$923−$432K lifetime
- 3Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$723−$59K lifetime
- 4LarBotPrime56% won of 215$704−$1.4K lifetime
- 5flexibleagedbeef91% won of 11$668+$2.3K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in WA-05 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?"?
82 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 82 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $798 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is macrosteaks, with $2.1K on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,614 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $72K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 20% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 71 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 65 points. A week ago, Yes by 60 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.