Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the TX-36 House seat?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $57K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.7K by 44 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 85% 26 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 89% 18 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $57K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
85% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 8 points.
Who holds it
44 wallets hold a position worth $5.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $191 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is Paeniscus., with $3.3K on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 80 markets (70% won).
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $284
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $5.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$284 on it
- 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$191+$48K lifetime
- 2cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$28+$72K lifetime
- 3Digital-Boy16% won of 2,232$21−$78K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,324 · noise$11+$254K lifetime
- 5thecaricature44% won of 717$8−$7.9K lifetime
No$5.5K on it
- 1Paeniscus.70% won of 80 · balanced$3.3K+$4.5K lifetime
- 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$649+$129K lifetime
- 3resfeber42% won of 1,608$446−$10K lifetime
- 40x9dd9…08bd16% won of 740 · noise$445+$36K lifetime
- 5oneoftheppl58% won of 855 · whale$286+$13K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in TX-36 House Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the TX-36 House seat?"?
44 wallets hold a position worth $5.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $191 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is Paeniscus., with $3.3K on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 80 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the TX-36 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $57K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
85% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 8 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.