Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 69% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 28 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $43K traded all time
- Held now
- $12K by 122 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 41% 60 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 69% 62 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 69¢ and No at 31¢, a 69% implied chance of Yes. $43K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
41% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points. A week ago, Yes by 58 points.
Who holds it
122 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 122 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $3.2K on it, $432K lifetime loss over 12,107 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is anciano, with $565 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 1,299 markets (49% won).
- Holders
- 60
- Money on it
- $9.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 62
- Money on it
- $2.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$9.7K on it
- 1Gaditima49% won of 12,107$3.2K−$432K lifetime
- 2Contestable-Parfait61% won of 345 · whale$1.2K+$173K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 49,197$1.2K−$49K lifetime
- 40x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$891+$127K lifetime
- 50xc8b9…b83664% won of 552 · whale$785+$371K lifetime
No$2.0K on it
- 1anciano49% won of 1,299 · whale$565+$37K lifetime
- 2lava-lava47% won of 1,655 · whale$344+$1.2M lifetime
- 3D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC3893558% won of 935 · whale$212+$85K lifetime
- 4GeniusIntelligenceno record yet$196+$0 lifetime
- 5wqeewqeadawfawfwa42% won of 1,925$157−$9.8K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in TX-35 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?"?
122 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 122 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $3.2K on it, $432K lifetime loss over 12,107 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is anciano, with $565 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 1,299 markets (49% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 69¢ and No at 31¢, a 69% implied chance of Yes. $43K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
41% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points. A week ago, Yes by 58 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.