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Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the PA-10 House seat?”?

Politics$12K traded68 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
80%Yes🧠 smart money
20%No

Smart money leans Yes: 71% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 43 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$12K
traded all time
Held now
$5.5K
by 68 wallets
Smart share · Yes
71%
44 scored holders
Smart share · No
28%
24 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 80¢ and No at 20¢, an 80% implied chance of Yes. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

71% of the money on Yes and 28% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 60 points.

Who holds it

68 wallets hold a position worth $5.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc8b9…b836, with $985 on it, $371K lifetime profit over 552 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is longtermgains, with $68 on it, $2.7K lifetime loss over 73 markets (71% won).

Yes80%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share71% ▼ 1 pts in 24 h
a day ago 72%now 71%
Holders
44
Money on it
$5.3K
Holders' win rate
57%
No20%
Smart money share28% ▲ 15 pts in 24 h
a day ago 12%now 28%
Holders
24
Money on it
$135
Holders' win rate
71%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$5.3K on it

  1. 10xc8b9…b83664% won of 552 · whale$985+$371K lifetime
  2. 2SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$768+$48K lifetime
  3. 3Pondermint63% won of 294 · whale$667+$110K lifetime
  4. 4cigarettes46% won of 49,197$480−$49K lifetime
  5. 50x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$458+$127K lifetime

No$135 on it

  1. 1longtermgains71% won of 73$68−$2.7K lifetime
  2. 2GUINESS12370% won of 547$24−$59K lifetime
  3. 3aaaamoon82% won of 22 · balanced$20+$35 lifetime
  4. 4e46m347% won of 87,774 · whale$4+$964K lifetime
  5. 5ghorrock64% won of 33,441 · whale$3+$7.2K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the PA-10 House seat?"?

68 wallets hold a position worth $5.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc8b9…b836, with $985 on it, $371K lifetime profit over 552 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is longtermgains, with $68 on it, $2.7K lifetime loss over 73 markets (71% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the PA-10 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 80¢ and No at 20¢, an 80% implied chance of Yes. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

71% of the money on Yes and 28% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 60 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.