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Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the OH-02 House seat?”?

Politics$41K traded19 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
2%Yes
99%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 51% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 40 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$41K
traded all time
Held now
$645
by 19 wallets
Smart share · Yes
11%
12 scored holders
Smart share · No
51%
7 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $41K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

11% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 40 points. A week ago, No by 38 points.

Who holds it

19 wallets hold a position worth $645 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 19 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dr.PNL, with $14 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,261 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is macrosteaks, with $250 on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,614 markets (64% won).

Yes2%
Smart money share11%
7 days ago 12%a day ago 11%now 11%
Holders
12
Money on it
$20
Holders' win rate
32%
No99%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share51%
7 days ago 50%a day ago 51%now 51%
Holders
7
Money on it
$625
Holders' win rate
64%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$20 on it

  1. 1Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$14−$485K lifetime
  2. 2BSS3728% won of 337 · noise$2+$7.9K lifetime
  3. 3YungCapital100% won of 1$1−$33 lifetime
  4. 4thecaricature44% won of 717$1−$7.9K lifetime
  5. 5resfeber42% won of 1,607$1−$10.0K lifetime

No$625 on it

  1. 1macrosteaks64% won of 2,614$250−$8.2K lifetime
  2. 2tttt12374% won of 214 · whale$197+$14K lifetime
  3. 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$62+$127K lifetime
  4. 40x295542613a56F22F0B726B1D26DC4Eaf681e0738-178090330758946% won of 248$54−$1.6K lifetime
  5. 55atka60% won of 228 · whale$40+$9.9K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the OH-02 House seat?"?

19 wallets hold a position worth $645 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 19 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dr.PNL, with $14 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,261 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is macrosteaks, with $250 on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,614 markets (64% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the OH-02 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $41K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

11% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 40 points. A week ago, No by 38 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.