Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?”?

Politics$30K traded49 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
23%Yes🧠 smart money
78%No

Smart money leans Yes: 98% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$30K
traded all time
Held now
$6.9K
by 49 wallets
Smart share · Yes
98%
19 scored holders
Smart share · No
61%
30 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 23¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

98% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points. A week ago, Yes by 29 points.

Who holds it

49 wallets hold a position worth $6.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is BigRabbit, with $1.1K on it, $127K lifetime profit over 1,102 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is oneoftheppl, with $1.3K on it, $13K lifetime profit over 855 markets (58% won).

Yes23%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share98%
7 days ago 97%a day ago 98%now 98%
Holders
19
Money on it
$2.4K
Holders' win rate
44%
No78%
Smart money share61% ▼ 1 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 69%a day ago 62%now 61%
Holders
30
Money on it
$4.5K
Holders' win rate
55%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$2.4K on it

  1. 1BigRabbit36% won of 1,102 · noise$1.1K+$127K lifetime
  2. 2SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$1.0K+$48K lifetime
  3. 3RadioCCOD38% won of 208 · noise$138+$9.4K lifetime
  4. 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,324 · noise$59+$254K lifetime
  5. 5Rickipsilon50% won of 4$47+$733 lifetime

No$4.5K on it

  1. 1oneoftheppl58% won of 855 · whale$1.3K+$13K lifetime
  2. 2Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$775−$59K lifetime
  3. 3grinder101147% won of 519 · whale$453+$11K lifetime
  4. 4macrosteaks64% won of 2,637$414−$8.2K lifetime
  5. 5Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$245−$378K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?"?

49 wallets hold a position worth $6.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is BigRabbit, with $1.1K on it, $127K lifetime profit over 1,102 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is oneoftheppl, with $1.3K on it, $13K lifetime profit over 855 markets (58% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 23¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

98% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points. A week ago, Yes by 29 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.