Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the NC-12 House seat?”?

Politics$17K traded22 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
96%Yes
4%No

The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.

Volume
$17K
traded all time
Held now
$2.9K
by 22 wallets
Smart share · Yes
95%
7 scored holders
Smart share · No
90%
15 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

95% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.

Who holds it

22 wallets hold a position worth $2.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 22 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-1730491999430, with $2.5K on it, $12K lifetime profit over 129 markets (99% won). The largest No holder is Biver52, with $7 on it, $6.4K lifetime profit over 360 markets (28% won).

Yes96%
Smart money share95%
7 days ago 95%a day ago 95%now 95%
Holders
7
Money on it
$2.9K
Holders' win rate
93%
No4%
Smart money share90%
7 days ago 90%a day ago 90%now 90%
Holders
15
Money on it
$25
Holders' win rate
41%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$2.9K on it

  1. 10x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-173049199943099% won of 129 · balanced$2.5K+$12K lifetime
  2. 20x295542613a56F22F0B726B1D26DC4Eaf681e0738-178090330758946% won of 250$124−$1.4K lifetime
  3. 3Ryxon2181% won of 609 · whale$114+$133K lifetime
  4. 4anciano49% won of 1,323 · whale$95+$38K lifetime
  5. 5khanoftruth35% won of 200 · noise$39+$8.6K lifetime

No$25 on it

  1. 1Biver5228% won of 360 · noise$7+$6.4K lifetime
  2. 2UbuntuTrading49% won of 2,123 · whale$6+$115K lifetime
  3. 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$4+$254K lifetime
  4. 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,917 · noise$2+$28K lifetime
  5. 50x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-179243706475847% won of 827$1−$8.4K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the NC-12 House seat?"?

22 wallets hold a position worth $2.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 22 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-1730491999430, with $2.5K on it, $12K lifetime profit over 129 markets (99% won). The largest No holder is Biver52, with $7 on it, $6.4K lifetime profit over 360 markets (28% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the NC-12 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

95% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.