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Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?”?

Politics$39K traded111 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
88%Yes🧠 smart money
13%No

Smart money leans Yes: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 48 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$39K
traded all time
Held now
$17K
by 111 wallets
Smart share · Yes
92%
62 scored holders
Smart share · No
44%
49 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 88¢ and No at 13¢, an 88% implied chance of Yes. $39K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

92% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 46 points. A week ago, Yes by 26 points.

Who holds it

111 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 111 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc8b9…b836, with $10K on it, $371K lifetime profit over 552 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is donthackme, with $199 on it, $829K lifetime profit over 86,904 markets (29% won).

Yes88%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share92%
7 days ago 78%a day ago 92%now 92%
Holders
62
Money on it
$16K
Holders' win rate
64%
No13%
Smart money share44% ▼ 2 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 52%a day ago 46%now 44%
Holders
49
Money on it
$1.4K
Holders' win rate
47%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$16K on it

  1. 10xc8b9…b83664% won of 552 · whale$10K+$371K lifetime
  2. 2mrworldwide70% won of 1,445 · whale$2.9K+$219K lifetime
  3. 3moneymakingmachine58% won of 1,109$700−$12K lifetime
  4. 4G.Hchen44% won of 239 · noise$613+$22K lifetime
  5. 5Crypto-Joe58% won of 129$140−$1.2K lifetime

No$1.4K on it

  1. 1donthackme29% won of 86,904 · noise$199+$829K lifetime
  2. 2cigarettes46% won of 49,094$182−$48K lifetime
  3. 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$160+$127K lifetime
  4. 4whispercatalyst49% won of 2,919$148−$6.0K lifetime
  5. 5resfeber42% won of 1,580$121−$9.7K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?"?

111 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 111 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc8b9…b836, with $10K on it, $371K lifetime profit over 552 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is donthackme, with $199 on it, $829K lifetime profit over 86,904 markets (29% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 88¢ and No at 13¢, an 88% implied chance of Yes. $39K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

92% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 46 points. A week ago, Yes by 26 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.