Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $22K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.5K by 50 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 35% 19 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 38% 31 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 26¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
35% of the money on Yes and 38% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 21 points.
Who holds it
50 wallets hold a position worth $5.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is lastminwin, with $910 on it, $87K lifetime loss over 9 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is Gaditima, with $1.9K on it, $433K lifetime loss over 12,109 markets (49% won).
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $1.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $3.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.8K on it
- 1lastminwin56% won of 9$910−$87K lifetime
- 2BigRabbit36% won of 1,102 · noise$390+$127K lifetime
- 30x295542613a56F22F0B726B1D26DC4Eaf681e0738-178090330758946% won of 248$134−$1.6K lifetime
- 4AxelTapper100% won of 1$111+$6 lifetime
- 50x8351…9beb50% won of 536$85−$15K lifetime
No$3.7K on it
- 1Gaditima49% won of 12,109$1.9K−$433K lifetime
- 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$722+$127K lifetime
- 3bananabreakfast48% won of 2,392 · balanced$292+$5.1K lifetime
- 4resfeber42% won of 1,607$197−$10.0K lifetime
- 5Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$183−$377K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in NC-07 House Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?"?
50 wallets hold a position worth $5.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is lastminwin, with $910 on it, $87K lifetime loss over 9 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is Gaditima, with $1.9K on it, $433K lifetime loss over 12,109 markets (49% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 26¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
35% of the money on Yes and 38% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 21 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.