Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the MS-03 House seat?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $40K traded all time
- Held now
- $11 by 34 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 59% 27 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 57% 7 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $40K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
59% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
34 wallets hold a position worth $11 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 34 of them. The largest Yes holder is YungCapital, with $0 on it, $33 lifetime loss over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is EzekielAngelique, with $2 on it, $140 lifetime loss over 15 markets (93% won).
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $1
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 7
- Money on it
- $10
- Holders' win rate
- 82%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1 on it
- 1YungCapital100% won of 1$0−$33 lifetime
- 2Ardtysrt0164% won of 335 · whale$0+$718 lifetime
- 3PolyArbi42% won of 292 · noise$0+$92 lifetime
- 4613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.98% won of 1,007 · whale$0+$21K lifetime
- 50xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-071715934525693% won of 1,066 · whale$0+$1.2K lifetime
No$10 on it
- 1EzekielAngelique93% won of 15$2−$140 lifetime
- 2ScottXavier100% won of 6$2−$22 lifetime
- 3Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,136 · whale$1+$560 lifetime
- 40x477d…4f0667% won of 200 · balanced$1+$313 lifetime
- 50xff09…25ab89% won of 220 · balanced$1+$1.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in MS-03 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the MS-03 House seat?"?
34 wallets hold a position worth $11 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 34 of them. The largest Yes holder is YungCapital, with $0 on it, $33 lifetime loss over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is EzekielAngelique, with $2 on it, $140 lifetime loss over 15 markets (93% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the MS-03 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $40K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
59% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.