Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the MO-08 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 14 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $189 by 13 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 80% 8 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 93% 5 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
80% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 14 points. A week ago, No by 12 points.
Who holds it
13 wallets hold a position worth $189 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 13 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $24 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is 0x9dd9…08bd, with $98 on it, $36K lifetime profit over 740 markets (16% won).
- Holders
- 8
- Money on it
- $38
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 5
- Money on it
- $150
- Holders' win rate
- 26%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$38 on it
- 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$24+$48K lifetime
- 2thecaricature44% won of 717$7−$7.9K lifetime
- 3luckystone31538% won of 237 · noise$5+$5.5K lifetime
- 4NotAnIdiot48% won of 1,435 · balanced$1+$1.5K lifetime
- 516r0ob20% won of 221 · noise$1+$1.7K lifetime
No$150 on it
- 10x9dd9…08bd16% won of 740 · noise$98+$36K lifetime
- 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$43+$127K lifetime
- 3altsu60% won of 30$10−$463 lifetime
- 4sebelmaestro0% won of 446$0−$8.5K lifetime
- 5elpatrondelaciudad0% won of 386$0−$3.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in MO-08 House Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the MO-08 House seat?"?
13 wallets hold a position worth $189 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 13 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $24 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is 0x9dd9…08bd, with $98 on it, $36K lifetime profit over 740 markets (16% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the MO-08 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 14 points. A week ago, No by 12 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.