Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 52 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $36K traded all time
- Held now
- $15K by 95 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 36% 50 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 88% 45 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $36K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
36% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 52 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 52 points. A week ago, No by 52 points.
Who holds it
95 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $6.2K on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed, with $76 on it, $163K lifetime profit over 15,906 markets (56% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $73 on Yes.
- Holders
- 50
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 1 · $73
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $298
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$15K on it
- 1anoin12359% won of 1,608$6.2K−$4.7M lifetime
- 2mrworldwide70% won of 1,445 · whale$2.8K+$219K lifetime
- 3macrosteaks64% won of 2,609$1.4K−$7.8K lifetime
- 4Fulgurator88% won of 98 · balanced$1.1K+$22K lifetime
- 50x295542613a56F22F0B726B1D26DC4Eaf681e0738-178090330758946% won of 248$608−$1.6K lifetime
No$298 on it
- 1Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,906 · whale$76+$163K lifetime
- 2SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$63+$48K lifetime
- 30x6b25…7a6953% won of 2,160 · whale$48+$18K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$31+$255K lifetime
- 5Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$19−$377K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in MO-05 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?"?
95 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $6.2K on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed, with $76 on it, $163K lifetime profit over 15,906 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $36K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
36% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 52 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 52 points. A week ago, No by 52 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.