Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 66% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 34 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $42K traded all time
- Held now
- $15K by 92 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 66% 44 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 32% 48 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $42K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
66% of the money on Yes and 32% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 34 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points. A week ago, Yes by 27 points.
Who holds it
92 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 92 of them. The largest Yes holder is 123905, with $2.9K on it, $6.9K lifetime profit over 5 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $164 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 49,301 markets (46% won).
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' win rate
- 79%
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $358
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$15K on it
- 1123905100% won of 5$2.9K+$6.9K lifetime
- 2purplegatto73% won of 3,511$2.9K−$1.9M lifetime
- 30xdcc9B357979299de99C91e7221B8e76720f6b04c-17918284356280% won of 1$1.9K+$0 lifetime
- 40x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-173049199943099% won of 129 · balanced$1.7K+$12K lifetime
- 5PancraceRoyer64% won of 204 · whale$1.5K+$84K lifetime
No$358 on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,301$164−$52K lifetime
- 2grinder101147% won of 519 · whale$30+$11K lifetime
- 3ABC1234565432148% won of 6,025$26−$1.3K lifetime
- 4Bsau458% won of 396 · whale$20+$2.5K lifetime
- 5ViscaElBarca1% won of 12,734$17−$65K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in MN-05 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?"?
92 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 92 of them. The largest Yes holder is 123905, with $2.9K on it, $6.9K lifetime profit over 5 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $164 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 49,301 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $42K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
66% of the money on Yes and 32% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 34 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points. A week ago, Yes by 27 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.