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Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the MI-06 House seat?”?

Politics$26K traded30 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
97%Yes
3%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 32 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$26K
traded all time
Held now
$7.0K
by 30 wallets
Smart share · Yes
59%
19 scored holders
Smart share · No
91%
11 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $26K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

59% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 32 points. A week ago, No by 32 points.

Who holds it

30 wallets hold a position worth $7.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 30 of them. The largest Yes holder is cowcat, with $2.2K on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $113 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).

Yes97%
Smart money share59%
7 days ago 59%a day ago 59%now 59%
Holders
19
Money on it
$6.9K
Holders' win rate
69%
No3%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share91%
7 days ago 91%a day ago 91%now 91%
Holders
11
Money on it
$126
Holders' win rate
51%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$6.9K on it

  1. 1cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$2.2K+$72K lifetime
  2. 2purplegatto73% won of 3,511$1.4K−$1.9M lifetime
  3. 3iraa380% won of 296 · whale$967+$7.1K lifetime
  4. 4WeJustBettin87% won of 230$735−$1.4K lifetime
  5. 5peepeepooppoop64% won of 1,566 · whale$546+$33K lifetime

No$126 on it

  1. 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$113+$48K lifetime
  2. 2Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$4−$485K lifetime
  3. 3GUINESS12370% won of 547$3−$59K lifetime
  4. 4Oklmntrader13% won of 577$3−$173K lifetime
  5. 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$1+$254K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the MI-06 House seat?"?

30 wallets hold a position worth $7.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 30 of them. The largest Yes holder is cowcat, with $2.2K on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $113 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the MI-06 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $26K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

59% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 32 points. A week ago, No by 32 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.