Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the MI-02 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 79% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $32K traded all time
- Held now
- $462 by 18 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 79% 12 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 61% 6 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $32K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
79% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 18 points. A week ago, Yes by 15 points.
Who holds it
18 wallets hold a position worth $462 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 18 of them. The largest Yes holder is cowcat, with $20 on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is ljjhgt, with $114 on it, $5 lifetime profit over 16 markets (100% won).
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $85
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 6
- Money on it
- $377
- Holders' win rate
- 84%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$85 on it
- 1cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$20+$72K lifetime
- 2SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$19+$48K lifetime
- 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$17+$129K lifetime
- 4Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$13−$485K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$7+$254K lifetime
No$377 on it
- 1ljjhgt100% won of 16$114+$5 lifetime
- 2altsu60% won of 30$97−$463 lifetime
- 3ilovefeetlick100% won of 40$53+$12 lifetime
- 4ShotoTodo74% won of 27$49−$4.3K lifetime
- 5ffgereskross5368100% won of 15$33+$5 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in MI-02 House Election Winner
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the MI-02 House seat?"?
18 wallets hold a position worth $462 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 18 of them. The largest Yes holder is cowcat, with $20 on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is ljjhgt, with $114 on it, $5 lifetime profit over 16 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the MI-02 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $32K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
79% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 18 points. A week ago, Yes by 15 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.