Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the MD-06 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 31% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 5 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $20K traded all time
- Held now
- $772 by 20 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 26% 7 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 31% 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
26% of the money on Yes and 31% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 5 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 5 points. A week ago, No by 18 points.
Who holds it
20 wallets hold a position worth $772 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 20 of them. The largest Yes holder is WeJustBettin, with $374 on it, $1.4K lifetime loss over 230 markets (87% won). The largest No holder is GUINESS123, with $7 on it, $59K lifetime loss over 547 markets (70% won).
- Holders
- 7
- Money on it
- $755
- Holders' win rate
- 76%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $18
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$755 on it
- 1WeJustBettin87% won of 230$374−$1.4K lifetime
- 2TrangNgo84% won of 211 · balanced$179+$22K lifetime
- 3qhome1233% won of 51$96−$46 lifetime
- 4macrosteaks64% won of 2,609$67−$7.8K lifetime
- 50x74FCF01083ba469909e5af254Bf2d75664bc492C-176974301236058% won of 281$21−$8.7K lifetime
No$18 on it
- 1GUINESS12370% won of 547$7−$59K lifetime
- 2SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$4+$48K lifetime
- 3Numitus199449% won of 15,720$2−$28K lifetime
- 4Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$2−$485K lifetime
- 5coldhot39% won of 646 · noise$1+$1.6K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in MD-06 House Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the MD-06 House seat?"?
20 wallets hold a position worth $772 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 20 of them. The largest Yes holder is WeJustBettin, with $374 on it, $1.4K lifetime loss over 230 markets (87% won). The largest No holder is GUINESS123, with $7 on it, $59K lifetime loss over 547 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the MD-06 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
26% of the money on Yes and 31% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 5 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 5 points. A week ago, No by 18 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.