Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the MD-03 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $21K traded all time
- Held now
- $715 by 21 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 77% 14 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 95% 7 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
77% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 18 points.
Who holds it
21 wallets hold a position worth $715 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 21 of them. The largest Yes holder is mwenya, with $242 on it, $114K lifetime profit over 1,060 markets (51% won). The largest No holder is Biver52, with $7 on it, $6.4K lifetime profit over 360 markets (28% won).
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $699
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 7
- Money on it
- $16
- Holders' win rate
- 30%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$699 on it
- 1mwenya51% won of 1,060 · whale$242+$114K lifetime
- 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$229+$129K lifetime
- 3crossx76% won of 173$98−$4.7K lifetime
- 4edwardiajoel72% won of 36$58−$1.3K lifetime
- 5oneoftheppl58% won of 855 · whale$41+$13K lifetime
No$16 on it
- 1Biver5228% won of 360 · noise$7+$6.4K lifetime
- 2BSS3728% won of 337 · noise$4+$7.9K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,322 · noise$3+$254K lifetime
- 4BobbyBakedBeans41% won of 4,772 · noise$2+$25K lifetime
- 5Rain-Prob-015% won of 207$1−$312 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the MD-03 House seat?"?
21 wallets hold a position worth $715 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 21 of them. The largest Yes holder is mwenya, with $242 on it, $114K lifetime profit over 1,060 markets (51% won). The largest No holder is Biver52, with $7 on it, $6.4K lifetime profit over 360 markets (28% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the MD-03 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
77% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 18 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.