Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the MA-02 House seat?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $36K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.6K by 28 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 97% 19 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 95% 9 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $36K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
97% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
28 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 28 of them. The largest Yes holder is thoodr, with $2.6K on it, $100K lifetime profit over 830 markets (96% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $6 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,247 markets (40% won).
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $3.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 91%
- Holders
- 9
- Money on it
- $15
- Holders' win rate
- 34%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.6K on it
- 1thoodr96% won of 830 · whale$2.6K+$100K lifetime
- 2byu5no record yet$400+$52 lifetime
- 3peepeepooppoop64% won of 1,563 · whale$195+$31K lifetime
- 4TrangNgo84% won of 211 · balanced$133+$22K lifetime
- 5Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,134 · whale$72+$570 lifetime
No$15 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,247 · noise$6+$255K lifetime
- 2Biver5228% won of 360 · noise$5+$6.4K lifetime
- 3BSS3728% won of 337 · noise$2+$7.9K lifetime
- 4crossFiter54% won of 7,777 · balanced$1+$362 lifetime
- 5Rain-Prob-015% won of 207$1−$312 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the MA-02 House seat?"?
28 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 28 of them. The largest Yes holder is thoodr, with $2.6K on it, $100K lifetime profit over 830 markets (96% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $6 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,247 markets (40% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the MA-02 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $36K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
97% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.