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Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the IN-08 House seat?”?

Politics$21K traded36 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
5%Yes🧠 smart money
95%No

Smart money leans Yes: 79% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 44 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$21K
traded all time
Held now
$1.3K
by 36 wallets
Smart share · Yes
79%
26 scored holders
Smart share · No
35%
10 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

79% of the money on Yes and 35% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 45 points. A week ago, No by 27 points.

Who holds it

36 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them. The largest Yes holder is softie, with $68 on it, $521 lifetime profit over 2 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is purplegatto, with $726 on it, $1.9M lifetime loss over 3,511 markets (73% won).

Yes5%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share79%
7 days ago 66%a day ago 80%now 79%
Holders
26
Money on it
$150
Holders' win rate
48%
No95%
Smart money share35%
7 days ago 93%a day ago 35%now 35%
Holders
10
Money on it
$1.2K
Holders' win rate
58%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$150 on it

  1. 1softie100% won of 2$68+$521 lifetime
  2. 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$16+$129K lifetime
  3. 3cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$10+$72K lifetime
  4. 4macrosteaks64% won of 2,637$10−$8.2K lifetime
  5. 5cigarettes46% won of 49,301$6−$52K lifetime

No$1.2K on it

  1. 1purplegatto73% won of 3,511$726−$1.9M lifetime
  2. 2donthackme29% won of 87,178 · noise$264+$829K lifetime
  3. 30x9dd9…08bd16% won of 740 · noise$94+$36K lifetime
  4. 4byu5no record yet$37+$52 lifetime
  5. 5CHAIN-199399% won of 585$25−$2.2K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the IN-08 House seat?"?

36 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them. The largest Yes holder is softie, with $68 on it, $521 lifetime profit over 2 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is purplegatto, with $726 on it, $1.9M lifetime loss over 3,511 markets (73% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the IN-08 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

79% of the money on Yes and 35% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 45 points. A week ago, No by 27 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.