Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the IN-06 House seat?”?

Politics$13K traded15 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
3%Yes
97%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 40 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$13K
traded all time
Held now
$646
by 15 wallets
Smart share · Yes
60%
8 scored holders
Smart share · No
100%
7 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

60% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 40 points. A week ago, No by 39 points.

Who holds it

15 wallets hold a position worth $646 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 15 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $23 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is anciano, with $445 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 1,299 markets (49% won).

Yes3%
Smart money share60%
7 days ago 61%a day ago 60%now 60%
Holders
8
Money on it
$40
Holders' win rate
50%
No97%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share100%
7 days ago 100%a day ago 100%now 100%
Holders
7
Money on it
$605
Holders' win rate
54%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$40 on it

  1. 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$23+$48K lifetime
  2. 2AMAM1355% won of 6,676$11−$119K lifetime
  3. 3TheImpasse21% won of 1,280$2−$142K lifetime
  4. 4cigarettes46% won of 49,197$2−$49K lifetime
  5. 516r0ob20% won of 221 · noise$1+$1.7K lifetime

No$605 on it

  1. 1anciano49% won of 1,299 · whale$445+$37K lifetime
  2. 2i2dt71% won of 356 · whale$116+$17K lifetime
  3. 3NotAnIdiot48% won of 1,435 · balanced$22+$1.5K lifetime
  4. 4oneoftheppl58% won of 850 · whale$14+$13K lifetime
  5. 50x539b…c64f99% won of 557 · grinder$7+$75 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

More markets in IN-06 House Election Winner

1 more
Who's betting on IN-06 House Election Winner →

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the IN-06 House seat?"?

15 wallets hold a position worth $646 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 15 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $23 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is anciano, with $445 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 1,299 markets (49% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the IN-06 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

60% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 40 points. A week ago, No by 39 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.