Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the IL-03 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 40% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 12 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $27K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.1K by 46 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 28% 20 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 40% 26 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
28% of the money on Yes and 40% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points. A week ago, Yes by 31 points.
Who holds it
46 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xE41adDdfD269f811c8dc173237eD8C4F213d29bD-1786041153188, with $857 on it, $137 lifetime loss over 125 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is thecaricature, with $13 on it, $7.9K lifetime loss over 717 markets (44% won).
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $2.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $56
- Holders' win rate
- 45%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.1K on it
- 10xE41adDdfD269f811c8dc173237eD8C4F213d29bD-178604115318879% won of 125$857−$137 lifetime
- 2Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$483−$59K lifetime
- 3nicoco8965% won of 1,030 · whale$466+$121K lifetime
- 4tomkat0736% won of 231$72−$125 lifetime
- 50x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$57+$127K lifetime
No$56 on it
- 1thecaricature44% won of 717$13−$7.9K lifetime
- 2AMAM1355% won of 6,676$9−$119K lifetime
- 3Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$6−$485K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,235 · noise$5+$255K lifetime
- 5Biver5228% won of 360 · noise$3+$6.4K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in IL-03 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the IL-03 House seat?"?
46 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xE41adDdfD269f811c8dc173237eD8C4F213d29bD-1786041153188, with $857 on it, $137 lifetime loss over 125 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is thecaricature, with $13 on it, $7.9K lifetime loss over 717 markets (44% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the IL-03 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
28% of the money on Yes and 40% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points. A week ago, Yes by 31 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.