Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 75 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $38K traded all time
- Held now
- $20K by 111 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 94% 55 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 19% 56 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 94¢ and No at 7¢, a 94% implied chance of Yes. $38K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
94% of the money on Yes and 19% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 75 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 75 points. A week ago, Yes by 72 points.
Who holds it
111 wallets hold a position worth $20K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 111 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc8b9…b836, with $10K on it, $371K lifetime profit over 552 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is Hyperlong, with $339 on it, $59K lifetime loss over 1,296 markets (51% won).
- Holders
- 55
- Money on it
- $19K
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
- Holders
- 56
- Money on it
- $899
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$19K on it
- 10xc8b9…b83664% won of 552 · whale$10K+$371K lifetime
- 2Lisbon89% won of 666 · whale$2.9K+$10K lifetime
- 3scottilicious83% won of 1,012 · whale$2.6K+$1.5M lifetime
- 4Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,906 · whale$578+$163K lifetime
- 5DirkDiggler6758% won of 1,069 · whale$501+$141K lifetime
No$899 on it
- 1Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$339−$59K lifetime
- 2Gaditima49% won of 12,107$267−$433K lifetime
- 3NotAnIdiot48% won of 1,435 · balanced$33+$1.5K lifetime
- 4GUINESS12370% won of 547$33−$59K lifetime
- 5whispercatalyst49% won of 2,921$31−$6.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in IA-01 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?"?
111 wallets hold a position worth $20K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 111 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc8b9…b836, with $10K on it, $371K lifetime profit over 552 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is Hyperlong, with $339 on it, $59K lifetime loss over 1,296 markets (51% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 94¢ and No at 7¢, a 94% implied chance of Yes. $38K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
94% of the money on Yes and 19% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 75 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 75 points. A week ago, Yes by 72 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.