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Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the FL-16 House seat?”?

Politics$18K traded48 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
25%Yes🧠 smart money
75%No

Smart money leans Yes: 59% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 11 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$18K
traded all time
Held now
$1.1K
by 48 wallets
Smart share · Yes
59%
30 scored holders
Smart share · No
48%
18 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 25¢ and No at 75¢, a 75% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

59% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.

Who holds it

48 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is gravypouch, with $110 on it, $24 lifetime profit over 200 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is Hyperlong, with $188 on it, $59K lifetime loss over 1,296 markets (51% won).

Yes25%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share59% ▲ 2 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 37%a day ago 57%now 59%
Holders
30
Money on it
$451
Holders' win rate
52%
No75%
Smart money share48%
7 days ago 52%a day ago 47%now 48%
Holders
18
Money on it
$661
Holders' win rate
52%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$451 on it

  1. 1gravypouch57% won of 200 · balanced$110+$24 lifetime
  2. 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$71+$129K lifetime
  3. 3Contestable-Parfait61% won of 345 · whale$65+$173K lifetime
  4. 4cigarettes46% won of 49,325$50−$52K lifetime
  5. 5macrosteaks64% won of 2,637$40−$8.2K lifetime

No$661 on it

  1. 1Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$188−$59K lifetime
  2. 2test.saveliyb.test43% won of 209 · noise$113+$3.8K lifetime
  3. 3GUINESS12370% won of 547$94−$59K lifetime
  4. 4peepeepooppoop64% won of 1,566 · whale$74+$33K lifetime
  5. 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$59+$254K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the FL-16 House seat?"?

48 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is gravypouch, with $110 on it, $24 lifetime profit over 200 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is Hyperlong, with $188 on it, $59K lifetime loss over 1,296 markets (51% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the FL-16 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 25¢ and No at 75¢, a 75% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

59% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.