Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the FL-03 House seat?”?

Politics$47K traded38 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
5%Yes
96%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 76% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 42 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$47K
traded all time
Held now
$2.1K
by 38 wallets
Smart share · Yes
35%
30 scored holders
Smart share · No
76%
8 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $47K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

35% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 52 points. A week ago, No by 47 points.

Who holds it

38 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 38 of them. The largest Yes holder is Digital-Boy, with $30 on it, $78K lifetime loss over 2,187 markets (16% won). The largest No holder is Paeniscus, with $1.5K on it, $1.7K lifetime profit over 19 markets (84% won).

Yes5%
Smart money share35%
7 days ago 30%a day ago 35%now 35%
Holders
30
Money on it
$138
Holders' win rate
36%
No96%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share76% ▼ 10 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 77%a day ago 86%now 76%
Holders
8
Money on it
$1.9K
Holders' win rate
77%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$138 on it

  1. 1Digital-Boy16% won of 2,187$30−$78K lifetime
  2. 2SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$22+$48K lifetime
  3. 3Oklmntrader13% won of 577$17−$173K lifetime
  4. 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$11+$255K lifetime
  5. 50x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$9+$127K lifetime

No$1.9K on it

  1. 1Paeniscus84% won of 19$1.5K+$1.7K lifetime
  2. 2K80PRO56% won of 901$201−$577 lifetime
  3. 3tsnycpm178% won of 255$113−$1.3K lifetime
  4. 4TheImpasse21% won of 1,280$105−$142K lifetime
  5. 5limeta488% won of 1,158$38−$518 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the FL-03 House seat?"?

38 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 38 of them. The largest Yes holder is Digital-Boy, with $30 on it, $78K lifetime loss over 2,187 markets (16% won). The largest No holder is Paeniscus, with $1.5K on it, $1.7K lifetime profit over 19 markets (84% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the FL-03 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $47K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

35% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 52 points. A week ago, No by 47 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.