Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the CA-14 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 57% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 27 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $21K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.8K by 26 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 30% 5 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 57% 21 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 99¢ and No at 1¢, a 99% implied chance of Yes. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
30% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 27 points. A week ago, No by 25 points.
Who holds it
26 wallets hold a position worth $4.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 26 of them. The largest Yes holder is purplegatto, with $3.3K on it, $1.9M lifetime loss over 3,515 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is LornaPredicts, with $4 on it, $28K lifetime profit over 15,970 markets (28% won).
- Holders
- 5
- Money on it
- $4.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 81%
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $15
- Holders' win rate
- 34%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.8K on it
- 1purplegatto73% won of 3,515$3.3K−$1.9M lifetime
- 20x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-173049199943099% won of 129 · balanced$1.2K+$12K lifetime
- 3123905100% won of 5$180+$6.9K lifetime
- 4LinaBell69% won of 1,060 · whale$23+$138K lifetime
- 5Assura97% won of 262$2−$25 lifetime
No$15 on it
- 1LornaPredicts28% won of 15,970 · noise$4+$28K lifetime
- 2Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$2−$485K lifetime
- 3Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$2−$378K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,324 · noise$2+$254K lifetime
- 50xF03D13c94373E052a177601419291Ce2FAfE21Fb-176952655872435% won of 254$1−$729 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in CA-14 House Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the CA-14 House seat?"?
26 wallets hold a position worth $4.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 26 of them. The largest Yes holder is purplegatto, with $3.3K on it, $1.9M lifetime loss over 3,515 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is LornaPredicts, with $4 on it, $28K lifetime profit over 15,970 markets (28% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the CA-14 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 99¢ and No at 1¢, a 99% implied chance of Yes. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
30% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 27 points. A week ago, No by 25 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.