Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 63% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 10 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $34K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.4K by 55 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 53% 26 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 63% 29 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
53% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 24 points.
Who holds it
55 wallets hold a position worth $5.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xE41adDdfD269f811c8dc173237eD8C4F213d29bD-1786041153188, with $1.8K on it, $137 lifetime loss over 125 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $17 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,272 markets (40% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $2 on No.
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $5.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 81%
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $83
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Snipers
- 1 · $2
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.4K on it
- 10xE41adDdfD269f811c8dc173237eD8C4F213d29bD-178604115318879% won of 125$1.8K−$137 lifetime
- 2Paeniscus84% won of 19$1.2K+$1.7K lifetime
- 30x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-173049199943099% won of 129 · balanced$748+$12K lifetime
- 4nicoco8965% won of 1,030 · whale$466+$121K lifetime
- 5OmegaV295% won of 261$387−$4.1K lifetime
No$83 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$17+$254K lifetime
- 2Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$16−$485K lifetime
- 3mwenya51% won of 1,060 · whale$15+$114K lifetime
- 4planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$10+$132K lifetime
- 5b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.98% won of 3,389 · whale$5+$22K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in AL-07 House Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?"?
55 wallets hold a position worth $5.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xE41adDdfD269f811c8dc173237eD8C4F213d29bD-1786041153188, with $1.8K on it, $137 lifetime loss over 125 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $17 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,272 markets (40% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
53% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 24 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.