Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party win the AL-06 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 37% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 33 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $275 by 20 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 37% 13 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 4% 7 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
37% of the money on Yes and 4% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 33 points. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.
Who holds it
20 wallets hold a position worth $275 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 20 of them. The largest Yes holder is animal.bean, with $4 on it, $7.8K lifetime loss over 807 markets (83% won). The largest No holder is LarBotPrime, with $250 on it, $1.4K lifetime loss over 215 markets (56% won).
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $13
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 7
- Money on it
- $262
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$13 on it
- 1animal.bean83% won of 807$4−$7.8K lifetime
- 2Majas29% won of 25,253$3−$25K lifetime
- 3SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$2+$48K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,324 · noise$1+$254K lifetime
- 5luckystone31538% won of 244 · noise$1+$5.5K lifetime
No$262 on it
- 1LarBotPrime56% won of 215$250−$1.4K lifetime
- 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$5+$129K lifetime
- 30xe3f6…32a464% won of 129$2+$124 lifetime
- 40xff09…25ab89% won of 220 · balanced$2+$1.0K lifetime
- 50x8242…0f3c53% won of 207$1−$74 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in AL-06 House Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party win the AL-06 House seat?"?
20 wallets hold a position worth $275 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 20 of them. The largest Yes holder is animal.bean, with $4 on it, $7.8K lifetime loss over 807 markets (83% won). The largest No holder is LarBotPrime, with $250 on it, $1.4K lifetime loss over 215 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the AL-06 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
37% of the money on Yes and 4% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 33 points. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.