Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 9%-12%?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 42% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 16 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $469 by 40 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 42% 27 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 26% 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 23¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
42% of the money on Yes and 26% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 50 points.
Who holds it
40 wallets hold a position worth $469 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 40 of them. The largest Yes holder is johnnath1222, with $53 on it, $4.1K lifetime profit over 252 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is Fihdrzgdd, with $93 on it, $20K lifetime loss over 3,576 markets (40% won).
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $252
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $217
- Holders' win rate
- 41%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$252 on it
- 1johnnath122249% won of 252 · whale$53+$4.1K lifetime
- 2blkcarib202065% won of 17$42−$174 lifetime
- 3.0.49% won of 205 · balanced$34+$3.3K lifetime
- 4K80PRO56% won of 901$27−$577 lifetime
- 5Echelonprt83% won of 210$23−$35K lifetime
No$217 on it
- 1Fihdrzgdd40% won of 3,576$93−$20K lifetime
- 2cmnd7w39% won of 3,832$36−$5.0K lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,840 · noise$32+$27K lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,094$27−$48K lifetime
- 5truthteller63% won of 1,095 · whale$13+$147K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 9%-12%?"?
40 wallets hold a position worth $469 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 40 of them. The largest Yes holder is johnnath1222, with $53 on it, $4.1K lifetime profit over 252 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is Fihdrzgdd, with $93 on it, $20K lifetime loss over 3,576 markets (40% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 9%-12%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 23¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
42% of the money on Yes and 26% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 50 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.