polkyo
Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 40%-45%?”?

Politics$15K traded43 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated November 1, 2026
22%Yes
78%No

Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.

Volume
$15K
traded all time
Held now
$1.8K
by 43 wallets
Smart share · Yes
-
29 scored holders
Smart share · No
-
14 scored holders
📈 Open the live signal🔔 Alert me when smart money movesTrade on Polymarket ↗

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 22¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

Who holds it

43 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754, with $303 on it, $8.5K lifetime profit over 24 markets (88% won). The largest No holder is keepingitral, with $581 on it, $1.3K lifetime profit over 284 markets (63% won).

Yes22%
Smart money share-
Holders
29
Money on it
$754
Holders' win rate
69%
No78%
Smart money share-
Holders
14
Money on it
$1.1K
Holders' win rate
56%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$754 on it

  1. 10x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-179244949675488% won of 24 · balanced$303+$8.5K lifetime
  2. 2shiifoo52% won of 5,597 · whale$79+$47K lifetime
  3. 3xtxpleasecallme39% won of 142,295 · noise$78+$271K lifetime
  4. 4fkpa82% won of 348 · balanced$61+$43K lifetime
  5. 5Zachattack50072% won of 267$48−$2.2K lifetime

No$1.1K on it

  1. 1keepingitral63% won of 284 · balanced$581+$1.3K lifetime
  2. 2Haradwaith50% won of 60,620$268−$381K lifetime
  3. 3Xyzeric44% won of 216$99−$1.3K lifetime
  4. 40x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 14,180 · whale$59+$135K lifetime
  5. 5Carabao49% won of 6,067$15−$1.9K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 40%-45%?"?

43 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754, with $303 on it, $8.5K lifetime profit over 24 markets (88% won). The largest No holder is keepingitral, with $581 on it, $1.3K lifetime profit over 284 markets (63% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 40%-45%?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 22¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.