Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election?”?
Smart money leans No: 73% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 39 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.9K by 54 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 34% 29 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 73% 25 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 25¢ and No at 75¢, a 75% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
34% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 38 points. A week ago, No by 26 points.
Who holds it
54 wallets hold a position worth $2.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Yes holder is macrosteaks, with $254 on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,637 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is 0xf27dc, with $380 on it, $14K lifetime profit over 279 markets (56% won).
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.4K on it
- 1macrosteaks64% won of 2,637$254−$8.2K lifetime
- 2whispercatalyst49% won of 2,931$172−$5.6K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 49,301$133−$52K lifetime
- 4resfeber42% won of 1,608$124−$10K lifetime
- 5sweetj64% won of 487 · whale$124+$11K lifetime
No$1.4K on it
- 10xf27dc56% won of 279 · balanced$380+$14K lifetime
- 2blunderbot92% won of 298$332−$5.5K lifetime
- 3Magician534287% won of 351 · grinder$192+$1.8K lifetime
- 4SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,242 · whale$125+$203K lifetime
- 5Nobody2304177% won of 216 · whale$93+$11K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
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- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election?"?
54 wallets hold a position worth $2.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Yes holder is macrosteaks, with $254 on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,637 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is 0xf27dc, with $380 on it, $14K lifetime profit over 279 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 25¢ and No at 75¢, a 75% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
34% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 38 points. A week ago, No by 26 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.