Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 20%-25%?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 83 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $327 by 29 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 83% 18 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 0% 10 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 29¢ and No at 71¢, a 71% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
83% of the money on Yes and 0% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 83 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 79 points.
Who holds it
29 wallets hold a position worth $327 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 28 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhl, with $111 on it, $28K lifetime profit over 1,104 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is Dr.PNL, with $64 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,294 markets (30% won).
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $234
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Holders
- 10
- Money on it
- $94
- Holders' win rate
- 38%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$234 on it
- 10xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhl80% won of 1,104 · balanced$111+$28K lifetime
- 2shiifoo53% won of 4,744 · whale$44+$46K lifetime
- 32B9S27% won of 14,480 · noise$15+$97K lifetime
- 4pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$13−$320K lifetime
- 5gfdgfvfvssdd43% won of 33,485$12−$23K lifetime
No$94 on it
- 1Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$64−$485K lifetime
- 229EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.59% won of 16,799$14−$4.7K lifetime
- 3pad652% won of 2,699$14−$1.6K lifetime
- 4Majas29% won of 25,253$1−$25K lifetime
- 5balthazar53% won of 52,697 · whale$0+$1.2M lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 20%-25%?"?
29 wallets hold a position worth $327 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 28 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhl, with $111 on it, $28K lifetime profit over 1,104 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is Dr.PNL, with $64 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,294 markets (30% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 20%-25%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 29¢ and No at 71¢, a 71% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 0% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 83 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 79 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.