Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 3% or more?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 28 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.4K by 49 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 95% 17 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 67% 32 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
95% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 28 points. A week ago, Yes by 30 points.
Who holds it
49 wallets hold a position worth $7.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is mrworldwide, with $3.8K on it, $219K lifetime profit over 1,445 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is Dr.PNL, with $31 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,261 markets (30% won).
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $7.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $123
- Holders' win rate
- 37%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$7.2K on it
- 1mrworldwide70% won of 1,445 · whale$3.8K+$219K lifetime
- 20x39FD7f7e5d025a0C442CB89a773F314F81807D31-176349145368481% won of 244 · balanced$2.4K+$2.5K lifetime
- 3sweetj64% won of 487 · whale$455+$11K lifetime
- 4resilience2656% won of 3,262$280−$13K lifetime
- 5mariacryptoss57% won of 51 · balanced$152+$352 lifetime
No$123 on it
- 1Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$31−$485K lifetime
- 22B9S27% won of 14,444 · noise$28+$97K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,235 · noise$12+$255K lifetime
- 4acc4202049% won of 859 · whale$12+$12K lifetime
- 5donthackme29% won of 86,904 · noise$9+$829K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 3% or more?"?
49 wallets hold a position worth $7.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is mrworldwide, with $3.8K on it, $219K lifetime profit over 1,445 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is Dr.PNL, with $31 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,261 markets (30% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 3% or more?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
95% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 28 points. A week ago, Yes by 30 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.