Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.5K by 49 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 33 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 16 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 73¢, a 73% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
49 wallets hold a position worth $4.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is Addarash, with $606 on it, $67K lifetime loss over 399 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $1.4K on it, $135K lifetime profit over 14,180 markets (43% won).
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $2.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $2.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.0K on it
- 1Addarash62% won of 399$606−$67K lifetime
- 2shiifoo52% won of 5,625 · whale$352+$47K lifetime
- 3blkcarib202058% won of 19$250−$174 lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme39% won of 142,704 · noise$149+$271K lifetime
- 5balthazar53% won of 60,939 · whale$136+$1.2M lifetime
No$2.5K on it
- 10x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 14,180 · whale$1.4K+$135K lifetime
- 2AnonymousUsername70% won of 6,634 · whale$438+$459K lifetime
- 3Haradwaith50% won of 60,779$309−$381K lifetime
- 4ghorrock64% won of 37,050 · whale$144+$8.0K lifetime
- 5dududududu79% won of 201 · whale$80+$177K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
2 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?"?
49 wallets hold a position worth $4.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is Addarash, with $606 on it, $67K lifetime loss over 399 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $1.4K on it, $135K lifetime profit over 14,180 markets (43% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 73¢, a 73% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.