Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 20%-25%?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $524 by 33 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 20 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 30¢ and No at 71¢, a 71% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
33 wallets hold a position worth $524 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 33 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $114 on it, $271K lifetime profit over 142,870 markets (39% won). The largest No holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $123 on it, $135K lifetime profit over 14,262 markets (43% won).
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $247
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $277
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$247 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme39% won of 142,870 · noise$114+$271K lifetime
- 20x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-179244949675488% won of 24 · balanced$83+$8.5K lifetime
- 3Haradwaith50% won of 60,779$17−$381K lifetime
- 40x9BBD88140CcBA06100DA00476257d9cffCE56e72-177150851187252% won of 215 · balanced$6+$40K lifetime
- 5a553345% won of 320,263$6−$9.1K lifetime
No$277 on it
- 10x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 14,262 · whale$123+$135K lifetime
- 2shiifoo52% won of 5,634 · whale$36+$47K lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 19,814 · noise$36+$28K lifetime
- 4leadernew43% won of 8,950$29−$7.7K lifetime
- 50xa24d…7857100% won of 450 · balanced$19+$2.1K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 20%-25%?"?
33 wallets hold a position worth $524 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 33 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $114 on it, $271K lifetime profit over 142,870 markets (39% won). The largest No holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $123 on it, $135K lifetime profit over 14,262 markets (43% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 20%-25%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 30¢ and No at 71¢, a 71% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.