Who's betting on “Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 21 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $60K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.3K by 90 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 79% 84 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 6 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 28, 2026 and resolved No. $60K has been traded on it.
The smart money
79% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.
Who holds it
90 wallets hold a position worth $2.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 90 of them.
- Holders
- 84
- Money on it
- $32
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 6
- Money on it
- $2.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 96%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Bank of Canada Decision in October?
4 more- No Change$250K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- 25 bps increase$233K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- 25 bps decrease$49K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- 50+ bps decrease$25K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$954K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?"?
90 wallets hold a position worth $2.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 90 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?"?
This market closed on October 28, 2026 and resolved No. $60K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
79% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 28, 2026 and resolved No. $60K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.