Who's betting on “Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $18K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.3K by 68 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 61% 38 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 62% 30 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 72¢, a 72% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 9, 2026.
The smart money
61% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 59 points.
Who holds it
68 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them.
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $662
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $682
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Bank of Brazil decision in December?
1 moreOther big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$946K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?"?
68 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 72¢, a 72% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 9, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
61% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 59 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 9, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.