Who's betting on “Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $37K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.6K by 79 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 53% 37 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 90% 42 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $37K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
53% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 29 points. A week ago, No by 27 points.
Who holds it
79 wallets hold a position worth $4.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 79 of them. The largest Yes holder is ScottyNooo, with $10 on it, $904K lifetime profit over 1,596 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is Holygoat, with $1.6K on it, $2.3K lifetime profit over 3 markets (100% won).
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $57
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $4.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$57 on it
- 1ScottyNooo48% won of 1,596 · whale$10+$904K lifetime
- 2Contestable-Parfait61% won of 345 · whale$7+$173K lifetime
- 3K80PRO56% won of 908$6−$347 lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,322 · noise$5+$254K lifetime
- 5Mantzuraj56% won of 743$4−$3.6K lifetime
No$4.5K on it
- 1Holygoat100% won of 3$1.6K+$2.3K lifetime
- 20xdc3E831cad55% won of 1,081 · whale$790+$91K lifetime
- 3pieped59% won of 206 · whale$697+$15K lifetime
- 4bernardbulletin75% won of 1,126 · whale$376+$198K lifetime
- 5bissy.56% won of 243 · balanced$217+$1.8K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?"?
79 wallets hold a position worth $4.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 79 of them. The largest Yes holder is ScottyNooo, with $10 on it, $904K lifetime profit over 1,596 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is Holygoat, with $1.6K on it, $2.3K lifetime profit over 3 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $37K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
53% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 29 points. A week ago, No by 27 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.