Who's betting on “Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 74% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 17 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $29K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.0K by 106 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 74% 61 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 57% 44 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 77¢ and No at 23¢, a 77% implied chance of Yes. $29K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 21, 2027.
The smart money
74% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 42 points.
Who holds it
106 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 105 of them. The largest Yes holder is FrozenParasite, with $740 on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is AiBird, with $53 on it, $122K lifetime profit over 1,279 markets (57% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $740 on Yes.
- Holders
- 62
- Money on it
- $2.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 1 · $740
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $198
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.8K on it
- 1FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$740+$244K lifetime
- 20xdc3E831cad55% won of 1,081 · whale$582+$91K lifetime
- 3trx167% won of 578$207−$5.9K lifetime
- 4SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$199+$203K lifetime
- 5efficient-market-enforcer85% won of 135 · balanced$179+$621 lifetime
No$198 on it
- 1AiBird57% won of 1,279 · whale$53+$122K lifetime
- 2GuyFromTinder37% won of 22,344$23−$89K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,234 · noise$22+$255K lifetime
- 4Tallguy252747% won of 24,235$18−$23K lifetime
- 5javinnav67% won of 218$14−$852 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
2 moreOther big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$942K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?"?
106 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 105 of them. The largest Yes holder is FrozenParasite, with $740 on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is AiBird, with $53 on it, $122K lifetime profit over 1,279 markets (57% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 77¢ and No at 23¢, a 77% implied chance of Yes. $29K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 21, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
74% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 42 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 21, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.